Nearly 11 years ago, the New England Patriots defeated the Seattle Seahawks by four points to win the Super Bowl.
Oddsmakers are looking for a similarly close game this time around, too, except with Seattle making the plays to come out on top.
Hours after the Patriots and then the Seahawks booked their reservations for Super Bowl LX on Sunday, sportsbooks listed Seattle as the early favorite, putting the line in the 4-to-5-point range.
Both DraftKings and FanDuel listed the Seahawks as 4.5-point favorites, with BetMGM putting the number at 5.
The Super Bowl will be played in Santa Clara, Calif., on Feb. 8.
Both teams finished the regular season with 14-3 records, tied with the Denver Broncos for the best record in the league. The Broncos got the No. 1 seed and first-round bye by way of a tiebreaker, but the Patriots beat the Broncos in Sunday’s AFC Championship Game 10-7, the game in Denver ending in snow flurries.
In the day’s second game, the Seahawks held off their NFC West-rival Los Angeles Rams, winning 31-27 in the third meeting between the teams this season.
Though the Patriots played in the lower-scoring of the two games, oddsmakers are looking for a score in the Super Bowl more along the lines of the Seahawks-Rams game, with the over/under sitting at 46.5 across most books. The Patriots were the NFL’s second-highest scoring team at 28.8 points per game, with the Seahawks right behind at 28.4.
Seattle had the stingiest defense in the league in 2025, allowing 17.2 points per game. The Patriots were fourth at 18.8.
According to teamrankings.com, the Seahawks and Patriots are the best teams against the spread (record when factoring in the point spread) this season, including playoffs.
Seattle is 14-5-0 against the spread (ATS), while New England is 13-6-1.
While a slew of specialty bets will be posted over the next two weeks, an early look at one of the most popular prop bets, Super Bowl Most Valuable Player, is topped with the expected names.
As quarterback of the betting favorite, Seattle’s Sam Darnold is the betting favorite with odds in the plus-130 range (bet $100 to win $130), with New England QB Drake Maye second at around plus-235. The only other players with odds shorter than plus-1000 (or 10-to-1) are a pair of Seahawks — receiver Jaxson Smith-Njigba (plus-500) and running back Kenneth Walker III (plus-700). Up next is Patriots running back Rhamondre Stephenson, but he is listed between plus-2500 and plus-3000.
This will be the second Super Bowl meeting between the Seahawks and the Patriots. New England beat defending champion Seattle in Super Bowl XLIX (49) on Feb. 1, 2015 when Patriots defensive back Malcolm Butler intercepted Russell Wilson at the goal line with 20 seconds left in the game to seal the win in Glendale, Ariz.
